高影响天气对辽宁省高速公路交通安全影响研究

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2025.03.008

Abstract

Abstract: Based on the data of expressway traffic accidents,traffic blocking from 2018 to 2022 and meteorological observations from 1971 to 2022 in Liaoning Province,this study analyzes the adverse impacts of different meteorological factors on traffic safety in Liaoning Province.The results show that rainfall is the primary weather factor leading to the accident of Liaoning expressway,and the correlation coefficient between the number of rainfall days and the number of accidents is 0.78.The accident-prone seasons are summer and autumn,and the time period is 9:00-10:00.Low-visibility events and snowfall are the main meteorological factors that lead to traffic jams on expressways.The main blocking season is winter,and the period is 18:00-23:00.The number and mean distribution of high-impact weather days in Liaoning Province show certain regional differences.The adverse weather accident-prone section of Jingha Expressway (532-552 km) is mainly affected by rainfall and low-visibility events.The number of low-visibility event is high and the average visibility is low.The number of rainfall days is high and the precipitation is heavy.The number of rainfall and snowfall days showed a decreasing trend,and the number of low-visibility days showed a significant decreasing trend before 1986,and then increased significantly.

Key words: Epressway, Climatic characteristics, High-impact weather, Traffic safety

CLC Number:

P426

ZHANG Mengmeng, ZHANG Weiqi, ZHANG Kai, LIN Yi, WANG Han, LI Jianing, LYU Jiaxin, ZHAO Yu. Study on the impact of adverse weather fonditions on expressway traffic safety in Liaoning Province[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2025, 41(3): 61-67.

References

[1] 包左军,汤筠筠,李长城,等.公路交通安全与气象影响[M].北京:人民交通出版社,2008.
[2] 潘娅英,陈武.引发公路交通事故的气象条件分析[J].气象科技,2006,34(6):778-782.
[3] 贺芳芳,房国良,吴建平.上海地区不良天气条件与交通事故之关系研究[J].应用气象学报,2004,15(1):126-128.
[4] 敖曼,翟润平.气象条件对道路交通的影响分析[J].公路与汽运,2011,3(2):58-62.
[5] 秦贝宁,何永明.不良天气对高速公路行车影响及事故特征分析[J].科技创新导报,2021,18(30):189-191.
[6] 张艳红,欧博,孙晓光.大雾天气高速公路交通事故成因分析及解决措施[J].中国科技信息,2008,19:294-297.
[7] 石从宴.恶劣天气条件下高速公路交通事故预防对策与实践[J].湖北警官学院学报,2004,17(5):49-53.
[8] 宋建洋,李怡,张恒通,等.恶劣天气对高速公路交通阻断影响分析[J].公路,2021,66(6):248-256.
[9] 李云峰,谢勇,金顺梅,等.吉林省高速公路交通事故与气象要素的关系研究[J].气象与环境学报,2021,37(3):94-101.
[10] 李岚,唐亚平,孙丽,等.辽宁省高速公路不良气象条件分析及服务探讨[J].气象与环境学报,2010,26(1):49-53.
[11] 林毅,李倩,张凯,等.气象条件对辽宁省高速公路交通安全的影响研究[J].气象与环境学报,2018,34(3):106-111.
[12] 赵晓华,任贵超,陈晨,等.不良天气下驾驶行为研究综述[J].交通信息与安全,2017,35(5):70-75.
[13] 丁秋冀,包云轩,袁成松,等.沪宁高速公路团雾发生规律及局地性分析[J].气象科学,2013,33(6):634-642.
[14] Kyte M,Khatib Z,Shannon P,et al.Effect of weather on free-flow speed[J].Transportation Research Record,2001,1776(1):60-68.
[15] 徐铖铖,刘攀,王炜,等.恶劣天气下高速公路实时事故风险预测模型[J].吉林大学学报(工学版),2013,43(1):68-73.
[16] Jung S,Qin X,Noyce D A.Rainfall effect on single-vehicle crash seventies using polychotomous response models[J].Accident Analysis & Prevention,2010,42(1):213-224.
[17] Lau K M,Weng H Y.Climate signal detection using wavelet transform:How to make a time series sing [J].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,1995,76(12):2391-2402.
[18] 黄嘉佑,李庆祥.气象数据统计分析方法[M].北京:气象出版社,2017:458.
[19] 郑秀雅,张延治,白人海.东北暴雨[M].北京:气象出版社,1992:9-43.
[20] 许秀红,矫玲玲,王庆余,等.近10年黑龙江省道路结冰的发展趋势及其与温度的关系[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(5):2123-2125.
[21] 程洁,欧阳杨,张佳琦,等.我国东北地区冬季气温时空变化特征分布的研究[J].林业科技情报,2017,49(3):106-112.
[22] 李光玉,刘天宇,吕军,等.低温冷害与霜冻灾害成因分析及防御对策[J].农业灾害研究,2022,12(9):194-196.
[23] 尹球,许绍祖.辐射雾生消的数值研究(Ⅱ)——生消机制[J].气象学报,1994(1):60-67.
[24] 白永清,何明琼,刘静,等.高速公路交通事故与气象条件的关系研究[J].气象与环境科学,2015,38(2):66-71.
[25] 陈传雷,吴晓峰,孙晓巍,等.辽宁省强对流性天气的气候特征分析[J].气象与环境学报,2010,26(3):27-33.

Study on the impact of adverse weather fonditions on expressway traffic safety in Liaoning Province

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 10

[1]	Rong WANG,Shanshan ZHAO,Dianxiu YE. Characteristics of spatial-temporal distribution of holiday climate comfortable days over China from 1990 to 2019 [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2024, 40(5): 40-49.
[2]	Xiu-bo SUN,Wan-ying ZHANG,Jian-qiang ZHANG,Cong LUO. The relationship between climate characteristics of wire icing days in Liaoning province and atmospheric general circulation anomalies [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2021, 37(3): 125-131.
[3]	DU Liang-liang, ZHU Wei-hao, TIAN Xiu-xia, WANG Shi-gong. Climatic characteristics of rainy days with different ranks in Handan region [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2017, 33(4): 102-107.
[4]	LI Yong-sheng, LIU Bo-qi, WANG Ying, LI Fei. Effect and possible mechanism of diabatic heating on evolution of cold vortex over Northeast China in June [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2016, 32(6): 19-26.
[5]	YAN Qi，JIANG Da-kai，CHEN Chuan-lei，CUI Jin，LU Jing-long，SANG Ming-gang. Climatic characteristics of regional snowstorm from 1960 to 2009 in Liaoning province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2012, 28(4): 43-48.
[6]	LIU Yu-lan, LIANG Pei, LIU Juan, SANG Jian-ren. Climatic characteristics of haze weather from 1961 to 2008 in Yinchuan [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2012, 28(1): 55-58.
[7]	WANG Ming-hua;LU Zhong-yan;CAI Kui-zhi;GUAN Ying;YUAN Zi-peng;HUANG Ge. Service system on weather conditions of highway traffic safety in Northeastern China [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2010, 26(4): 53-56.
[8]	CHEN Chuan-lei;WU Xiao-feng;SUN Xiao-wei;WANG Ying;WANG Tai-wei;WEI Xiao-lin. Climatic characteristics of severe convective weather in Liaoning province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2010, 26(3): 27-33.
[9]	WANG Wei;LUXue-cui; XIE Yi-yang. Normalized fog hazard index and its application [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2010, 26(1): 16-20.
[10]	SUN Li; YU Shu-qin; LI Lan;TANG Ya-ping;LIU Xiao-na;XI Tao. Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of thunderstorm days in Liaoning province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2010, 26(1): 59-53.
[11]	YUE Yan-xia;CHEN Jing;GAO Qi;YAN Rui-shu. Climatic characteristics of cold air under global warming in Shijiazhuang, Hebei province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2009, 25(4): 36-42.
[12]	LI Lan LI Yang XING Jiang-yue GUAN Jian-hua SUN Li SUN Jing. Climatic characteristics of fog and its relationship with meteorological elements along the Shenyang-Dalian highway [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2009, 25(1): 49-53.
[13]	LI Ji HU Chun-li WANG Yan LIN Rong. Climatic characteristics of the first soaking rain in spring sowing season of Liaoning province and its variation [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2008, 24(6): 1-6.
[14]	WANG Li-rong;WANG Li-rong;KUANG Shun-si;GUO Wei-hong. Application of convective parameters climatic characteristics in short-term forecast [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2008, 24(5): 38-41.
[15]	YAN QI; LV Xiaodan ZHU Yu CUI Limin . Characteristics of climate change from 1951 to 2005 in Anshan [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2007, 23(6): 15-19.