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    Noah-MP-Crop模式对锦州春玉米生态系统模拟性能的综合评估

    Comprehensive evaluation of Noah-MP-Crop over spring maize ecosystem at Jinzhou

    • 摘要: 本研究以锦州市生态与农业气象中心观测站为研究区,基于春玉米播期、生育期天数、积温条件及关键生理指标等实测数据,对陆面模式Noah-MP-Crop进行本地化参数优化与功能改进。为验证改进模式的模拟效能,采用2011—2014年气象驱动数据开展单点离线模拟,并通过对比春玉米各生育期不同器官生物量、叶面积指数(LAI)、逐小时地表感热/潜热通量及净生态系统碳交换量(NEE)的实测值,系统评估模型对春玉米农田生态系统关键过程的模拟能力。结果表明:相较于原始Noah-MP模式,改进后的Noah-MP-Crop模式显著提升了生长季春玉米LAI的季节动态与年际变化模拟精度,其绝对平均偏差由1.05 m2·m-2降至0.63 m2·m-2;该模型可合理模拟茎生物量与产量的动态变化过程,但存在系统性低估现象,其中产量模拟的绝对平均偏差达347.5 g·m-2。LAI模拟性能的提升进一步改善了地表能量通量的模拟效果:日间地表感热通量模拟的绝对平均偏差从36.0 W·m-2降至24.2 W·m-2;模式对地表潜热通量月际动态的模拟能力得到提升,但仍存在整体高估问题,日间模拟的绝对平均偏差为52.4 W·m-2;此外,Noah-MP-Crop模式实现了对净生态系统碳交换量的高精度模拟输出。值得注意的是,该模型对表层土壤含水量的模拟未表现出明显改进,且在春季干旱年份的生长季模拟中存在显著高估,绝对平均偏差约为0.1 m3·m-3。总体而言,Noah-MP-Crop模式在雨水适宜年份对春玉米农田生态系统关键过程的模拟效果较好,而在干旱年份,其对春玉米生长动态的模拟结果与实际情况仍存在较大偏差,未来需进一步优化模式对干旱胁迫下作物生理过程的模拟。

       

      Abstract: Taking the observation station of Jinzhou Ecological and Agrometeorological Center as the study area,this research conducted localized parameter optimization and functional improvement of the land surface model Noah-MP-Crop,based on measured data including sowing dates,growth period duration,accumulated temperature conditions,and key physiological indices of spring maize.To verify the simulation performance of the improved model,single-point offline simulations were carried out using meteorological forcing data from 2011 to 2014.Meanwhile,the capability of model in simulating the key processes of the spring maize agro-ecosystem was systematically evaluated by comparing the simulated values with measured data of biomass of different organs,leaf area index (LAI),hourly surface sensible/latent heat fluxes,and net ecosystem exchange (NEE) during various growth stages of spring maize.The results showed that,compared with the original Noah-MP model,the improved Noah-MP-Crop model significantly enhanced the simulation accuracy of seasonal dynamics and interannual variations of LAI of spring maize during the growing season,with its mean absolute deviation (MAD) decreasing from 1.05 m2·m-2 to 0.63 m2·m-2.The model could reasonably simulate the dynamic changes in stem biomass and yield,but there was a systematic underestimation with the MAD of yield simulation reaching 347.5 g·m-2.The improved LAI simulation performance further optimized the simulation effect of surface energy fluxes:the MAD of daytime surface sensible heat flux simulation decreased from 36.0 W·m-2 to 24.2 W·m-2.The model's ability to simulate the monthly dynamics of surface latent heat flux was improved,however,an overall overestimation still existed,with the MAD of daytime simulation being 52.4 W·m-2.In addition,the Noah-MP-Crop model achieved high-precision simulation of net ecosystem exchange (NEE).It is worth noting that the model showed no obvious improvement in simulating topsoil water content; and there was a significant overestimation in the growing season simulation of spring drought years,with the MAD being approximately 0.1 m3·m-3.Overall,the Noah-MP-Crop model exhibited good performance in simulating the key processes of the spring maize agro-ecosystem in years with adequate rainfall.However,in drought years,there was still a large deviation between the simulated results of spring maize growth dynamics and the actual conditions.Therefore,it is necessary to further optimize the model's simulation of crop physiological processes under drought stress in the future.

       

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