甜樱桃气候品质评价指标及模型初探
Evaluation Indicators and preliminary model of climatic quality for sweet cherry
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摘要: 为开展甜樱桃(Prunus avium)气候品质定量评价,以典型甜樱桃品种“莎米脱”为供试材料,基于大连地区2019—2023年甜樱桃品质数据和气象数据,运用皮尔逊相关分析法、逐步回归法、加权求和法等方法,确定甜樱桃气候品质分级指标,构建甜樱桃气候品质评价模型。结果表明:甜樱桃单果重和果径均与开花期和果实发育期气温类因子呈正相关,与全生长期≥10℃活动积温呈极显著正相关;与果实发育期降水类因子呈负相关,与全生长期降水量呈极显著负相关;可溶性固形物含量与果实成熟期气温类因子呈正相关,与成熟期平均气温呈显著正相关。大连地区甜樱桃气候品质特级指标为全生长期≥10℃活动积温≥974.6℃·d,降水量<130.5 mm,成熟期平均气温为20.8~22.0℃。经检验,评价指数IACQ可用于甜樱桃气候品质评价。Abstract: To conduct a quantitative evaluation of the climatic quality of sweet cherry,Prunus avium,the typical sweet cherry cultivar "Summit" was selected as the experimental material.Based on the quality data of sweet cherry and meteorological data in Dalian from 2019 to 2023,Pearson correlation analysis,stepwise regression,weighted summation method and other methods were used to determine the grading indicators for the climatic quality of sweet cherry and to establish a climatic quality evaluation model for sweet cherry.The results show that both single fruit weight and fruit diameter of sweet cherry are positively correlated with temperature-related factors during the flowering and fruit development periods,and are highly significantly positively correlated with the accumulated temperature ≥10 ℃ during the whole growth period.They are negatively correlated with precipitation-related factors during the fruit development period,and are highly significantly negative correlated with total precipitation during the whole growth period.The soluble solids content is positively correlated with temperature-related factors during the fruit ripening period and is significantly positively correlated with the average temperature during the ripening period.The premium climatic quality indicators for sweet cherry in Dalian area are an accumulated temperature ≥ 10 ℃ of no less than 974.6 ℃·d during the whole growth period,total precipitation less than 130.5 mm during the whole growth period,and an average temperature of 20.8~22.0 ℃ during the ripening period.Verification results indicate that the evaluation indicator IACQ can be used for climatic quality assessment of sweet cherry.
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