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    2004—2023年天津市夏季短历时降水变化特征分析

    Variation characteristics of summer short duration precipitation in Tianjin during the period of 2004-2023

    • 摘要: 选取2004—2023年天津地区13个国家级气象观测站逐小时降水数据,对天津市夏季短历时(1~6 h)降水的时空变化趋势进行精细化分析。结果表明:天津市夏季降水分布具有较为明显的空间差异,总体呈现东北多、西南少的分布特征;天津市夏季逐时累积降水量、降水频次及降水强度一日内波动较大,00—23时呈明显的V形变化特征,10时降水最少;2004—2023年天津市夏季短历时降水总量(3.93 mm·a-1,P<0.01)及过程降水强度(0.05 mm·h-1·a-1,P<0.001)呈显著增加趋势,而累积降水时间呈增加趋势(0.24 h·a-1),但没有达到显著性水平(P>0.05);2004—2023年天津夏季短历时降水量的上升与降水强度的提高有明显关系。

       

      Abstract: This study conducts a detailed analysis of short-duration (1-6 h) summer precipitation in Tianjin City based on hourly precipitation data from 13 national-level meteorological observation stations from 2004 to 2023.The results show that short-duration summer precipitation in Tianjin City exhibits apparent spatial variations,generally showing a distribution of more in the northeast and less in the southwest.The cumulative precipitation,precipitation frequency and precipitation intensity in summer of Tianjin City fluctuated greatly within one day,showing obvious V-shaped characteristics from 00:00 to 23:00,with the least precipitation at 10:00.From 2004 to 2023,the summer short-duration precipitation (3.93 mm·a-1,P<0.01) and process precipitation intensity (0.05 mm·h-1·a-1,P<0.001) in Tianjin showed significant increasing trends,while the cumulative precipitation time showed a weak but not significant increasing trend (0.24 h·a-1,P>0.05).The increase of summer short duration precipitation in Tianjin from 2004 to 2023 is tightly related to the increase of precipitation intensity.

       

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