高级检索

    1981—2023年山东省不同历时极端降水时空变化特征

    Spatiotemporal characteristics of extreme precipitation events with different durations in Shandong Province from 1981 to 2023

    • 摘要: 选用1981—2023年山东省101个国家气象站逐分钟降水数据,分析该地区不同历时年最大降水量的时空变化特征。结果表明:山东省不同历时平均年最大降水量及其极值的空间分布不一致,平均年最大降水量多出现在山东南部的中东部地区,空间差异随历时增加而增大。不同历时年最大降水量随时间变化规律的空间分布基本一致,多地区为增大趋势。年最大降水量强中心随历时增加而东移,其年代际变化存在显著增大趋势,变幅随着历时的增加而增大。不同历时年最大降水量发生在7月的频率最大,多发于下午;其极值多出现在7月和8月,多发于下午、午夜至凌晨之间。33%~52%站点的不同历时年最大降水量极值出现在2011年后。

       

      Abstract: Minute-by-minute precipitation data from 101 national meteorological stations in Shandong Province from 1981 to 2023 were analyzed to investigate the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of annual maximum precipitation with different durations.Results show that the spatial distributions of mean annual maximum precipitation and their extreme values for different durations are inconsistent across Shandong Province.The mean annual maximum precipitation predominantly occurs in the central-eastern areas of southern Shandong,with spatial differences increasing with duration.The spatiotemporal distribution patterns of annual maximum precipitation changes are generally consistent across different durations,with most regions showing increasing trends.The center of annual maximum precipitation intensity shifts eastward as duration increases,exhibiting a significant increasing trend in interdecadal variation,with amplitude increasing with duration.The annual maximum precipitation of different durations occurs most frequently in July,predominantly in the afternoon; its extreme values mostly appear in July and August,commonly occurring between afternoon and early morning.After 2011,33%-52% of stations recorded historical extreme values for annual maximum precipitation of different durations.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回