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    一次高架对流风雹过程的双偏振雷达特征分析

    Analysis of Dual-Polarization Radar Characteristics of an Elevated Convective Wind-Hail Process

    • 摘要: 2021年3月30日夜间至31日清晨,江西北部出现一次强对流天气过程,伴有大范围短时强降水和大尺寸冰雹。该区域地处长江中下游春季对流活跃区,强对流突发性强、识别难度大。综合应用ERA5再分析资料、天擎地面分钟级降水数据及南昌S波段双偏振天气雷达观测资料,分析该过程的天气背景、雷达回波结构、偏振参量与地面降水峰值之间的关系及微物理特征。结果表明:该过程为典型的高架对流,强回波区存在明显差分反射率(ZDR)弧、差分相移率(KDP)大值区及入流缺口,反映风暴内部强上升运动与混合相粒子结构。降雹区出现典型的ZDR柱和KDP柱,非降雹区域则在0℃层以下呈现ZDR与KDP大值匹配。分钟级时序特征分析显示,强降水过程中,ZDR和KDP峰值平均提前降水峰值8.8分钟和6分钟出现,具有较好预警指示意义;相关系数(ρHV)受粒子相态影响较大,稳定性较差。三体散射长钉TBSS偏振特征表现为,ZDR负值、KDP空洞和ρHV径向急剧下降。研究结果可为江西及类似区域强对流识别与临近预报提供参考。

       

      Abstract: From the night of March 30 to the early morning of March 31, 2021, a severe convective weather event occurred in northern Jiangxi, accompanied by widespread short-duration heavy rainfall and large-sized hail. This region is located in the spring convectively active zone of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, where severe convection tends to be sudden and difficult to identify. Based on ERA5 reanalysis data, Tianqing minute-level ground rainfall observations, and Nanchang S-band dual-polarization weather radar data, this study analyzes the synoptic background, radar echo structure, the relationship between dual-polarization parameters and surface precipitation, as well as microphysical characteristics of the event. The results indicate that the event was a typical elevated convective process. The strong echo region exhibited a distinct ZDR arc, a high KDP area, and an inflow notch, reflecting strong updrafts and a mixed-phase particle structure within the storm. The hail-producing region showed typical ZDR and KDP columns, while the non-hail precipitation region displayed a good match of high ZDR and KDP values below the 0 ℃ level. Time series analysis at the minute scale revealed that the peaks of ZDR and KDP on average preceded the precipitation peak by 8.8 minutes and 6 minutes, respectively, indicating good early warning potential. The ρHV was more sensitive to particle phase and exhibited relatively low stability. The polarimetric signature of the three-body scatter spike (TBSS) was characterized by negative ZDR, a KDP hole, and a sharp radial decrease of ρHV. These findings provide a valuable reference for the identification and nowcasting of severe convection in Jiangxi and similar regions.

       

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