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    1957~2000年沈阳地区气温和降水变化特征分析

    Characteristics of temperature and precipitation in Shenyang area from 1957 to 2000

    • 摘要: 利用1957~2000年沈阳地区逐日平均气温、降水量资料,采用线性趋势分析、Mann-Kendall突变检测法和Morlet小波变换等方法,分析了近44a来沈阳地区气温和降水变化的总体特征及趋势,并利用极端气温和降水指数探讨了其变化特征。结果表明:近44 a来沈阳地区气温呈显著的上升趋势,气温变化有较明显的突变特征,突变时间出现在1981~1982年;降水呈波动下降趋势,自20世纪80年代以来,极端降水事件的强度和频率均呈上升趋势。

       

      Abstract: Based on mean daily temperature and precipitation data from 1957 to 2000 in Shenyang area,the general characteristics and trends of temperature and precipitation variations were analyzed with linear trend analysis,Mann-Kendall break detector and Morlet wavelet transform method.Furthermore,their variation characteristics were discussed with the extreme temperature index and the extreme precipitation index.The results indicated that temperature showed a significant upward trend in Shenyang area during recent 44 years.And temperature variation had obviously abrupt change.The time of abrupt change was from 1981 to 1982.Precipitation showed a fluctuant downtrend,while intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation events were increasing since 1980s.

       

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