湖南一次重大森林火灾人工增雨作业条件与效果分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2019.05.013

Abstract

Abstract: Artificial precipitation enhancement operation is an important scientific and technological means for extinguishing the forest bush fire.Forecasting operational conditions and grasping operational opportunity are the keys to the success or failure of the operation.Based on the condition of artificial precipitation enhancement operation on the serious forest fire disaster in Dacheng Mountain in Hu'nan province on August 10-16,2013,the operational conditions forecast and operational scheme design are analyzed by using various meteorological data,and then the effects of operation are evaluated by employing the radar echo parameter variation method before and after the operation and the radar echo tracking method of maximum correlation coefficient (TREC).The results show that the artificial precipitation enhancement operation on the serious forest fire disaster in Dacheng Mountain effectively enables the local precipitation to fell to the fire site where the location is relatively concentrated by capturing the cumulus cloud system that rapidly grows and dissipates at the periphery of the typhoon.As a result,the rain increases after 15 minutes of the 7th,8th artificial precipitation enhancement operations on August 15,which effectively suppresses the forest fire and saves the trapped persons in time.In addition,the 11th operation on August 16 plays an important role in extinguishing the forest fire.In general,it is easier to seize the operation opportunity by using rockets,artillery and other ground equipment for carrying out artificial precipitation enhancement operation for local cumulus clouds,while seeding by aircraft is more appropriate for a wide range of convective-stratiform mixed clouds.Besides,aircraft plays an important role in forest fire reconnaissance photographed and meteorological observation and so on.

Key words: Forest fire, Cumulus, Artificial precipitation, Seeding condition, Effect evaluation

CLC Number:

P481

FAN Zhi-chao, LIU Fu-lai, XIAO Qing, DING Yue-qiang, LI Nou-zhou. Analysis of the seeding conditions and effects of an artificial precipitation enhancement operations on a serious forest fire fighting in Hu'nan province[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(5): 100-107.

References

[1] 牛若芸,翟盘茂,孙明华.森林火险气象指数及其构建方法回顾[J].气象,2006,32(12):3-9.
[2] 许东蓓,梁芸,蒲肃,等.迭部"4.15"森林大火的气象条件及EOS遥感监测[J].气象,2006,32(1):107-112.
[3] 施望芝.林火多因子综合分析及预报方法[J].气象,1997,23(7):55-57.
[4] 毛光伶.林火与气象条件相互关系及其预报[J].气象,1988,14(9):52-54.
[5] 孙虹雨,程攀,程佳悦,等.辽宁省林火发生和过火面积与气象因子关系分析[J].气象与环境学报,2018,34(5):128-134.
[6] 于文颖,周广胜,赵先丽,等.大兴安岭林区火灾特征及影响因子[J].气象与环境学报,2009,25(4):1-5.
[7] 王柏忠,王广河.基于人工影响天气的气象灾害减灾技术[J].自然灾害学报,2005,14(3):15-21.
[8] 张国华.川西林区灭火战法初探[J].森林防火,2002(4):11-13.
[9] Eduard P D.Forest fire problems in 1999 in the Russian Federation[J].International Forest Fire News,2000(22):63-66.
[10] 田晓瑞,张有慧,舒立福,等.林火研究综述(v)-航空护林[J].世界林业研究,2004,17(5):17-20.
[11] 顾永强.国外如何防范森林火灾[J].中国减灾,2009,37(11):36-37.
[12] 毕忠镇.赴俄罗斯航空护林、扑火方法、工艺设备考察报告[J].森林防火,1997(4):38-39.
[13] 韩经纬,吴学宏,宋桂英.2006年大兴安岭特大森林火灾防扑火关键期转折性降水特征[J].气象,2007,33(8):52-59.
[14] 张自国,夏彭年,薄玉华.用于森林扑火的人工增雨双区催化作业设计[J].气象,2006,32(S1):44-47.
[15] 齐贵滨,崔永跃,李鹏.一次森林灭火中飞机人工增雨过程分析[J].黑龙江气象,2011,28(2):44-46.
[16] 张云丽,吴春德,孙国芝.人工增雨在森林防火中的应用[J].林业勘查设计,2009(2):122-123.
[17] 郑凯,安英玉,韩书新,等.高纬地区一次飞机人工增雨作业综合分析[J].气象与环境学报,2017,33(6):105-111.
[18] 李大山.87.5大兴安岭特大森林火灾飞机人工降雨作业情况及效果分析[J].气象,1987,13(10):1-7.
[19] 张剑明,段丽洁.2013年夏季湖南省持续高温干旱变化特征及其成因分析[J].气象与环境学报,2018,34(4):45-51.
[20] 汪玲,刘黎平.人工增雨催化区跟踪方法与效果评估指标研究[J].气象,2015,41(1):84-91.
[21] 陈超,刘黎平,王改利.人工影响天气中雷达回波跟踪方法及其应用[J].气象科技,2012,40(3):489-496.
[22] 马建立,王改利,金永利,等.TREC算法在人工影响天气作业指挥系统中的应用[J].气象科技,2011,39(2):236-241.
[23] 樊志超,周盛,汪玲,等.湖南秋季积层混合云系飞机人工增雨作业方法[J].应用气象学报,2018,29(2):200-216.

Analysis of the seeding conditions and effects of an artificial precipitation enhancement operations on a serious forest fire fighting in Hu'nan province

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 13

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 10

[1]	SHANG Bo, CAI Miao, HUO Ye, ZHOU Yu-quan. Numerical simulation analysis on the potential and index of artificial precipitation enhancement in spring in Jilin [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2020, 36(1): 74-81.
[2]	GENG Pei-pei, WANG Cong-mei, LI Zhi-xia, YANG Wen-xia. The application of EC-thin data in the identification of the potential area of artificial precipitation enhancement in the low trough cold front precipitation process [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2020, 36(1): 82-88.
[3]	ZHOU De-ping, SU Hang, GENG Shu-jiang, WANG Yang-feng, HONG Ye, LIU Ning-wei. Aircraft observation of atmospheric ice nuclei concentration in Liaoning and Shenyang regions [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(6): 133-139.
[4]	SUN Hong-yu, CHENG Pan, CHENG Jia-yue, ZHU Yi-ming, JIA Bin-ying, HUANG Ge, LU Zhong-yan. The relationships between bush fire/burnning area and meteorological factors [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(5): 128-134.
[5]	ZHAI Qing-fei, AO Xue, YUAN Jian, SHAN Nan, LIU Ji, CAO Jian-qiu. Effective test of an artificial precipitation enhancement operation process in Liaoning province based on a regional historical regressive statistical method [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2017, 33(6): 96-104.
[6]	ZHENG Kai, AN Ying-yu, HAN Shu-xin, LI Peng, GAO Qian-nan, LI Dong-nan. Comprehensive analysis of aircraft artificial precipitation enhancement in high-latitude areas [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2017, 33(6): 105-111.
[7]	YANG Xu;YUAN Jian;BAN Xian-xiu;LI Chun;MA Xing-ming;SHI Cheng-lei. Design and realization of artificial precipitation enhancement database management system in Liaoning province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2009, 25(5): 36-39.
[8]	LIANG Hong;ZHANG Tao;LI Lin;CUI Jin-song;FANG Juan;ZHANG Shao-yong. Forecast of township level artificial precipitation enhancement indices and its system development in Shenyang [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2009, 25(5): 44-47.
[9]	YU Wen-ying ;ZHOU Guang-sheng, ;ZHAO Xian-li ;XIE Yan-bin ;JIA Qing-yu. Characteristics of forest fire and its controls in Daxing’anling Mountains, Heilongjiang province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2009, 25(4): 1-5.
[10]	FANG Bin XIAO Hui BAN Xian-xiu GONG Wei-wei. Comparison between CA-FCM and other precipitation enhancement effect evaluation methods on cloud seeding operation [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2008, 24(4): 13-18.
[11]	YANG Xu ZHOU Deping SU Jingbao. Analysis of cloud water resources on the artificial precipitation enhancement demonstration region in Liaoning Province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2006, 22(5): 36-39.
[12]	WANG Jihong AN Jiangwen HU Wei SHENG Yong DU Jianwei . Analysis of radar echo characteristics on the weather system of fitting aircraft artificial precipitation enhancement [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2006, 22(3): 1-6.
[13]	LIU Yumei . Estimation of exploitation potential on cloud water resource in Daqing city [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2006, 22(2): 59-61.