Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2020, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (5): 40-51.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2020.05.006
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Xue AO1(),Qing-fei ZHAI2,*(
),Yan CUI1,Chun-yu ZHAO1,Tao WANG1,Xiao-yu ZHOU1,Yi-ling HOU1
Received:
2019-12-18
Online:
2020-10-30
Published:
2020-09-09
Contact:
Qing-fei ZHAI
E-mail:aoxuefyh@163.com;15840322495@163.com
CLC Number:
Xue AO, Qing-fei ZHAI, Yan CUI, Chun-yu ZHAO, Tao WANG, Xiao-yu ZHOU, Yi-ling HOU. Prediction of changes in mean and extreme climate events in Northeast China under different warming scenarios[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2020, 36(5): 40-51.
Table 1
Definition of indices for extreme climate"
指数名称 | 定义 | 单位 |
霜冻日数tnfd | 日最低气温< 0 ℃的全部日数 | d |
结冰日数txice | 日最高气温< 0 ℃的全部日数 | d |
热浪持续指数txhw90 | 日最高气温>历史同期(气候基准期内逐年以该日为中点的连续5日)第90百分位数的最长连续天数 | d |
寒潮持续指数tncw10 | 日最低气温<历史同期(气候基准期内逐年以该日为中点的连续5日)第10百分位数的最长连续天数 | d |
平均降水量pav | 降水量与总降水日数的比值 | mm/d |
最大连续五日降水量px5d | 最大的连续5日总降水量 | mm |
强降水日数pnl90 | 大于基准期第90百分位的有雨日数 | d |
日降水强度pint | 有雨日的降水量与有雨日数比值 | mm/d |
Table 2
Results of relative changes of annual and seasonal temperature in Northeast China when annual mean temperature rising by 1.5 ℃ and 2.0 ℃ relative to 1986 to 2005 predicted under the RCP4.5 scenario ℃"
升温情景 | 年 | 春季 | 夏季 | 秋季 | 冬季 |
1.5 ℃升温情景 | 1.19 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.04 | 1.18 |
2.0 ℃升温情景 | 2.33 | 2.19 | 1.85 | 2.15 | 1.96 |
Table 3
Results of relative changes of anomaly percentage in annual and seasonal precipitation in Northeast China when annual mean temperature rising by 1.5 ℃ and 2.0 ℃ relative to 1986 to 2005 under the RCP4.5 scenario %"
升温情景 | 年 | 春季 | 夏季 | 秋季 | 冬季 |
1.5 ℃升温情景 | 5.78 | -0.73 | 2.28 | 8.38 | 13.31 |
2.0 ℃升温情景 | -1.96 | -1.02 | -2.26 | 4.10 | -5.37 |
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