黑龙江省区域性暴雨过程定量化评估及时空特征

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2025.04.012

Abstract

Abstract: Based on the daily precipitation data of 71 national ground observation stations in Heilongjiang Province from 1961 to 2020,the criteria for determining regional rainstorm processes are defined.The maximum process precipitation,maximum daily precipitation,process range,maximum range of a single day and duration of a rainstorm process are selected as evaluation indicators to build a comprehensive evaluation model for regional rainstorm processes,and analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of regional rainstorm,And quantitatively evaluate it.The results show that:A total of 123 regional rainstorm events occurred in Heilongjiang Province,showing a significant upward trend,mainly in July and August from 1961 to 2020,and 91.1% of the process lasted for one day;The rainfall centers are mainly concentrated in the southern part of Yichun,most of Harbin,the southern part of Mudanjiang,the central part of Jixi,and the western part of Suihua;The comprehensive intensity in the 1990s and the past decade was the highest,with weak,moderate,strong,stronger,and extremely strong grade processes accounting for 66%,17%,9%,4%,and 4%;In recent ten years,the intensity and frequency of extra-strong processes are more prominent,and they are greatly affected by northward typhoons.

Key words: Regional rainstorm process, Evaluation model, Comprehensive strength

CLC Number:

P466

ZHANG Hongling, ZHU Hongrui, XU Yongqing, LIU Henan. Quantitative assessment and spatial-temporal characteristics of regional rainstorm process in Heilongjiang Province[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2025, 41(4): 104-109.

References

[1] 张洪玲,王波,刘赫男,等.1961—2017年黑龙江省夏季降水的气候特征[J].中国农学通报,2019,35(25):115-122.
[2] 孔心雨,孙颖娜,张丽娜.黑龙江省极端降水事件时空变化趋势分析[J].甘肃水利水电技术,2022,58(3):1-5.
[3] 王晓宁,岳大鹏,赵景波,等.1958—2017年极端降水时空变化与灾害效应[J].水土保持研究,2020,27(5):138-146.
[4] 张鑫,曹蕾,杜静,等.东北三省1961—1990年与1991—2018 年降水量变化综合观测[J].江苏农业科学,2020,48(21):282-287.
[5] 张嫘.1998年黑龙江省抗洪抢险综述[J].黑龙江年鉴,1999:11-14.
[6] 《中国气象年鉴》编辑部.中国气象年鉴(黑龙江省) [M].北京:气象出版社,1999:120-123.
[7] 中国气象局.中国气象灾害年鉴(2004—2021年)[M].北京:气象出版社,2005-2021.
[8] 张洪玲,尹嫦娇,魏磊,等.黑龙江省汛期逐时降水的时空变化特征分析[J].冰川冻土,2016,38(5):1258-1263.
[9] 任福民,龚志强,王艳姣,等.中国干旱、强降水、高温和低温区域性极端事件[M].北京:气象出版社,2015:90-95.
[10] 叶殿秀,王遵亚,高荣,等.1961—2016年我国区域性暴雨过程的客观识别及其气候特征[J].气候变化研究进展,2019,15(6):575-583.
[11] 陈艳秋,袁子鹏,盛永,等.基于概率分析的暴雨事件快速评估模型[J].气象与环境学报,2006,22(5):62-65.
[12] 王春学,马振峰,秦宁生.四川盆地区域性暴雨过程的识别及时空变化特征[J].气象科技,2016,44(5):776-782.
[13] 洪国平.区域性暴雨过程评价指标在湖北的本地化修订和应用[J].暴雨灾害,2020,39(5):470-476.
[14] 李艳兰,黄卓,何洁琳,等.1961—2017年广西区域性暴雨过程变化特征[J].气象与环境学报,2020,36(1):51-57.
[15] 黄会杰,彭超,徐刚,等.重庆市区域性暴雨危险性定量分析及其时空分布规律研究[J].地球与环境,2018,46(3):237-244.
[16] 邱粲,陈艳春,刘焕彬,等.山东省区域性暴雨事件时空变化特征及个例:以台风“利奇马”暴雨过程为例[J].气象科学,2021,41(2):183-190.
[17] 孟寒冬.河南省区域性暴雨过程时空变化分析及定量化评估模型的建立[J].河南科学,2020,38(8):1279-1287.
[18] 吴慧,邹燕,朱晶晶,等.海南省区域性暴雨过程综合强度评估方法研究[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(3): 8-12.
[19] 邹燕,叶殿秀,林毅,等.福建区域性暴雨过程强度定量化评估方法[J].应用气象学报,2014,25(3):360-364.
[20] 伍红雨,邹燕,刘尉.广东区域性暴雨过程的定量化评估及气候特征[J].应用气象学报,2019,30(2):233-244.
[21] 蔡新玲,路岑之,程肖侠.陕西省区域性暴雨过程综合评估方法研究[J].陕西气象,2012,(6):16-19.
[22] 任丽,金磊,李雪梅.2006年黑龙江省4次区域性大(暴)雨过程对比分析[J].黑龙江气象,2007,24(3):9-10.
[23] 吴英,张杰,闫中帅.黑龙江省2009年6月罕见的区域性暴雨天气过程分析[J].安徽农业科学,2010,38(22):11808-11809.
[24] 张月,张宇.黑龙江省一次区域性暴雨的异常因子分析[J].黑龙江气象,2016,33(4):1-2.
[25] 王胜,田红,宋阿伟,等.1961—2020年安徽省区域性暴雨和干旱过程识别及演变特征[J].暴雨灾害,2016,41(6):671-678.
[26] 代立芹,王猛,李春强,等.河北省棉花连阴雨灾害定量化评估指标与风险分析[J].气象与环境学报,2019,35(6):108-114.
[27] 耿世波,聂哲,王瀛,等.辽宁暴雨诱发山洪灾害风险区划研究[J].气象与环境学报,2022,38(4):153-160.
[28] 赵先丽,蔡福,丁抗抗,等.锦州地区春玉米物候变化趋势及其与水热条件的关系[J].气象与环境学报,2022,38(5):64-71.
[29] 程攀,刘成瀚,蔡冬梅,等.2010—2021年辽宁省雷电分布及其与海拔高度的关系[J].气象与环境学报,2022,39(4):138-146.
[30] 温克刚,孙永罡.中国气象灾害大典:黑龙江卷[M].北京:气象出版社,2007.
[31] 黑龙江省社会科学院.黑龙江年鉴(2010—2020年)[M].黑龙江:黑龙江年鉴社,2011-2021.

Quantitative assessment and spatial-temporal characteristics of regional rainstorm process in Heilongjiang Province

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 3

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0

[1]	Pengwu YANG,Deli ZHOU,Wenjuan JI,Siyuan MA,Meng LUO,Meng LI. Temporal and spatial characteristics of regional rainstorm processes in Yunnan province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2024, 40(3): 83-90.
[2]	XI Zhu-xiang,JI Ling-ling,ZHANG Shuo. Development of a model for evaluation of disaster loss due to heavy rainstorm in Jilin province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2014, 30(5): 141-145.
[3]	WANG Ping,LI Shuai,YANG Xiao-qiang,WANG Liang-liang,GONG Li-juan,ZHU Hai-xia,JIANG Li-xia. Progress in technology and application of agricultural weather forecast in Heilongjiang province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2013, 29(1): 89-92.