主办单位:中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所
国际刊号:ISSN 1673-503X
国内刊号:CN 21-1531/P

Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2012, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (2): 81-84.doi:

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Air quality prediction and verification from 2007 to 2008 in Wuhan

XU Yang1 WANG Kai2 JIA Qiao-lian1 SUN Jie3   

  1. 1. Hubei Meteorological Service Center, Wuhan 430074, China; 2. Wuhan Regional Climate Center, Wuhan 430074, China; 3. Hubei Meteorological Service, Wuhan 430074, China
  • Online:2012-04-30 Published:2012-04-30

Abstract: Air quality prediction in Wuhan was investigated and air quality was analyzed. The results indicated that air quality in Wuhan is mostly fine and never exceeds light pollution level. The frequency of the fine air quality is 77.6% from 2007 to 2008. Air quality is better in summer than other seasons. The prediction model established by a stepwise regression method has a certain ability to forecast air quality  and the prediction accuracy of air quality grade reaches 78.1%. According to the statistics of the prediction accuracy, this model is suitable to predict air quality with Ⅱ grades. It suggests that the prediction results should be modified by the observational value of air quality in the day before and combining weather forecast results.

Key words: Air quality, Prediction, Stepwise linear regression, Wuhan