主办单位:中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所
国际刊号:ISSN 1673-503X
国内刊号:CN 21-1531/P

Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2015, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (1): 1-5.doi:

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Science issues on global warming

ZHAO Zong-ci1,2  LUO Yong1,2  WANG Shao-wu1,3  HUANG Jian-bin1   

  1. 1. Center for Erath System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2. Open Lab of Climate Research, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China; 3. Department of Atmosphere and Ocean, Physics School, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
  • Online:2015-02-28 Published:2015-02-28

Abstract:

 The working group 1 of IPCC has published the fifth science assessment report in 2013. Based on lots of evidences of observations and simulations by climate models, it continues to emphasize the key point that the global is warming at the present time and continues to warm in the future due to increasing human emissions. Several scientific issues of global warming in this paper will be summarized, such as differences among several datasets of observed global surface air temperature, effects of different basic climate periods, detection and attribution of global warming during the 20th century, and the trends of global temperature change in the 21st century. It raises the further research issues of global warming in the future. The key points are: the qualities of the observed data should be raised; it should be noticed that the different basic climate periods have various values; the capabilities of both decadal and interdecadal variabilities as simulated by the climate models would be improved, and the reasons of the hiatus in global mean surface warming of the past 15 years have to be studied, therefore to revise the climate models; the uncertainties of projected the global climate change in future are from climate model differences, and various anthropogenic emission scenarios, as well as impacts of internal variability of climate system and actions of the natural external forcing.

Key words: Global warming, Science issues, Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC)