基于自然灾害风险理论的黑龙江省玉米干旱风险评价

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2019.06.018

Abstract

Abstract: In order to investigate the drought risk of maize for different areas of Heilongjiang province in China and provide a scientific foundation for maize disaster prevention and disaster management,drought risk index of maize was studied based on the meteorological data and maize growth data during 1971 to 2017 from 44 agricultural meteorological stations.The growth period of maize was divided into two parts based on the growth situation,named early stage (emergence to tasseling) and late-stage (tasseling to maturity),respectively.The natural disaster risk assessment method was applied to analyze the data and crop water deficit index was selected to evaluate the severity of drought.The indices of drought risk assessment model included dangerous,vulnerability,exposure,and emergency response and recovery.The weight coefficients of the 4 indices were induced to define the degree of influence of different indices.The drought risk zone of maize was analyzed based on the drought risk index in Heilongjiang province.The results show that the high values of risk index are distributed in the western of Heilongjiang province and the relatively high values of risk index are distributed in Shuangcheng District of Harbin and Zhaodong County.The southwest of Heilongjiang,including Zhaozhou,Zhaoyuan,Anda is middle risk areas.The low values of risk index are distributed in the Sanjiang plain of eastern Heilongjiang and Heihe,Yichun,Mudanjiang.This study could provide a scientific foundation for maize disaster prevention and disaster management.

Key words: Drought, Risk assessment, Risk zoning

CLC Number:

S513
S423

WU Shuang, JIANG Li-xia, LI Yu-guang, GONG Li-juan, TIAN Bao-xing, WU Ying. Risk assessment of maize drought in Heilongjiang province based on natural disaster risk theory[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(6): 139-144.

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Risk assessment of maize drought in Heilongjiang province based on natural disaster risk theory

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