基于层次分析法和模糊评判法的西藏国家气象公园评价研究

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2022.03.020

Abstract

Abstract:

In this study, based on the national meteorological park evaluation index system issued by China Meteorological Administration, the hierarchical analysis method(AHP) was used to construct a meteorological park evaluation system applicable to the plateau under full consideration of the cultural characteristics of the plateau.The results showed that in the criterion layer, weather landscape>human meteorological landscape>environmental protection>scientific, the weight values are 45.94%, 32.48%, 14.91%, and 6.67% respectively.In the factor layer, rarity>human value>climate characteristics>scientificity, the weight values are 25.80%, 17.20%, 9.70% and 5.00% respectively.On this basis, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation analysis of Namco, Yamzho Yumco and Mansarovar show that the comprehensive evaluation of all factors in Namco is excellent, that in Yamzho Yumco is good, and that in Mansarovar is also good.Therefore, based on limited economic conditions, it is considered that it is the best choice to have Namco developed into a national meteorological park.The results of this study can provide decision-making reference for environmental planning and other related departments and industries.

Key words: Tibet national meteorological park, Analytic hierarchy process, Weight value, Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

CLC Number:

Cuo-mu SILANG,Ya-jun XIONG,Zhuo-ga LUOSANG,Sang-deng LUOSONG,Jiang-cun BIANBA,Ke-zhu DANZENG. Evaluation of Tibet national meteorological parks based on AHP-fuzzy method[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2022, 38(3): 162-168.

Figures/Tables 13

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References 18

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判断矩阵阶数	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
RI	0.00	0.00	0.58	0.90	1.12	1.24	1.32

目标层	评价指标
目标层	指标层	因子层
国家气象公园景观质量A	天气景观B1	稀有度C1
		典型度C2
		多样度C3
		重现度C4
	人文气象资源B2	人文价值C5
		宗教价值C6
		历史价值C7
	环境保护B3	气候特征C8
		水土保持C9
		灾害防御C10
	科学性B4	科学性C11
	科学性B4	科普性C12

A	B1	B2	B3	B4	Wi
B1	1	2	3	5	0.4594
B2	1/2	1	3	5	0.3248
B3	1/3	1/3	1	3	0.1491
B4	1/5	1/5	1/3	1	0.0667

B1	C1	C2	C3	C4	Wi
C1	1	3	5	7	0.5610
C2	1/3	1	3	5	0.2621
C3	1/5	1/3	1	4	0.1259
C4	1/7	1/5	1/4	1	0.0509

B2	C5	C6	C7	Wi
C5	1	3	3	0.5289
C6	1/3	1	2	0.2759
C7	1/3	1/2	1	0.1951

Evaluation of Tibet national meteorological parks based on AHP-fuzzy method

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目标层	准则层	权重	指标层	权重Wi	综合权重Wz
国家气象公园评价指标体系			稀有度C1	0.5610	0.258
	天气景观B1	0.4594	典型度C2	0.2621	0.120
			多样度C3	0.1259	0.058
			重现度C4	0.0509	0.023
			人文价值C5	0.5289	0.172
	人文气象资源B2	0.3248	宗教价值C6	0.2759	0.090
			历史价值C7	0.1951	0.063
			气候特征C8	0.6491	0.097
	环境保护B3	0.1491	水土保持C9	0.2790	0.042
			灾害防御C10	0.0719	0.011
	科学价值B4	0.0667	科学性C11	0.7500	0.050
			科普价值C12	0.2500	0.010

一级指标	二级指标	评价
一级指标	二级指标	权重	优	良	中	差
天气景观 0.4594	稀有度	0.258	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.1
	典型度	0.120	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1
	多样度	0.058	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0
	重现度	0.023	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.0
人文气象资源 0.3248	人文价值	0.172	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
	宗教价值	0.090	0.7	0.1	0.1	0.1
	历史价值	0.063	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1
环境保护 0.1491	气候特征	0.097	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1
	水土保持	0.042	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2
	灾害防御	0.011	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1
科学价值 0.0667	科学性	0.050	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.1
科学价值 0.0667	科普性	0.017	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0

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[2]	Ying-tan YU,Shou-peng WANG,Lin LIU,Fang-fang XING,Chao-xing ZHANG,Da ZHONG,Wen-bo ZHAO,Jian WANG. Health assessment of water ecosystem in Benxi urban section of Taizi River [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2020, 36(1): 89-95.
[3]	DUAN Li-yao, XIONG Ming-ming, LI Da-ming, LIU Xun-ping, WANG Jing, LI Pei-yan. Assessment of local debris flow disaster in Tianjin based on AHP method [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(6): 109-116.
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B4	C11	C12	Wi
C11	1	3	0.75
C12	1/3	1	0.25