太平洋海温三极子对中国东北地区春玉米气候产量的影响

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2022.05.009

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on maize yield data, NCEP re-analysis data, self-calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI), standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI), soil water content and sea surface temperature (SST) data, the effect of pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China was analyzed.It was found that the climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China was significantly correlated with the Pacific SST tripole from January to May of the harvest year.The Pacific SST tripole could influence the regional circulation field during the seeding stage and the whole growing season of spring maize in northeast China through the teleconnection pattern over the Pacific, and then affect regional precipitation, soil moisture content, scPDSI, and SPEI, which are closely related to the climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China.When the Pacific SST tripole strengthens, a Rossby-wave-like teleconnection pattern will be formed over the Pacific, resulting in a negative vorticity anomaly in the upper air of northeast China, which is conducive to the formation of local updraft and the increase of precipitation.The Pacific SST tripole is also conducive to the formation of the southeast wind anomaly from the northwest Pacific to northeast China at the low level, which further enhances the precipitation in northeast China through water vapor transport.

Key words: Pacific SST tripole, Spring maize, Climatic yield, Atmospheric bridge

CLC Number:

S162.8

Kai-qi CHEN,Jian-ping LI,Tie-jun XIE,Ya-zhou ZHANG. Effect of Pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2022, 38(5): 72-80.

Figures/Tables 10

Fig.1

Fig.2

Fig.3

Fig.4

Table 1

Fig.5

Table 2

Fig.6

Fig.7

Fig.8

References 41

1	王洪预. 东北春玉米不同种植模式比较研究[D]. 长春: 吉林大学, 2019.
2	陈妮娜, 纪瑞鹏, 米娜, 等. 春玉米生长发育、产量和籽粒品质对减量施氮的响应[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2021, 37 (4): 86- 92. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2021.04.012
3	陈凯奇, 米娜. 辽宁省玉米低温冷害和霜冻灾害风险评估[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2016, 32 (1): 89- 94.
4	Jiang R , He W T , He L , et al. Modelling adaptation strategies to reduce adverse impacts of climate change on maize cropping system in Northeast China[J]. Scientific Reports, 2021, 11 (1): 810. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-79988-3
5	Li J P , Wu Z W , Jiang Z H , et al. Can global warming strengthen the East Asian summer monsoon?[J]. Journal of Climate, 2010, 23 (24): 6696- 6705. doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3434.1
6	Ray D K , Gerber J S , MacDonald G K , et al. Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability[J]. Nature Communications, 2015, 6, 5989. doi: 10.1038/ncomms6989
7	Lesk C , Rowhani P , Ramankutty N . Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production[J]. Nature, 2016, 529 (7584): 84- 87. doi: 10.1038/nature16467
8	Zhao C , Liu B , Piao S L , et al. Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017, 114 (35): 9326- 9331. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1701762114
9	Song Y L , Linderholm H W , Luo Y , et al. Climatic causes of maize production loss under global warming in northeast China[J]. Sustainability, 2020, 12 (18): 7829. doi: 10.3390/su12187829
10	纪瑞鹏, 张玉书, 姜丽霞, 等. 气候变化对东北地区玉米生产的影响[J]. 地理研究, 2012, 31 (2): 290- 298.
11	Guo E L , Liu X P , Zhang J Q , et al. Assessing spatiotemporal variation of drought and its impact on maize yield in Northeast China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2017, 553, 231- 247. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.060
12	Yu X Y , He X Y , Zheng H F , et al. Spatial and temporal analysis of drought risk during the crop-growing season over northeast China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2014, 71 (1): 275- 289. doi: 10.1007/s11069-013-0909-2
13	林益同, 赵春雨, 房一禾, 等. 东北初夏和盛夏降水时空变化及大气环流因子新特征分析[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2021, 37 (5): 63- 71. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2021.05.010
14	Piao S L , Ciais P , Huang Y , et al. The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China[J]. Nature, 2010, 467 (7311): 43- 51. doi: 10.1038/nature09364
15	Xu X C , Ge Q S , Zheng J Y , et al. Agricultural drought risk analysis based on three main crops in prefecture-level cities in the monsoon region of east China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2013, 66 (2): 1257- 1272. doi: 10.1007/s11069-012-0549-y
16	赵先丽, 李丽光, 贾庆宇, 等. 1988—2007年辽宁主要农业气象灾害分析[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2009, 25 (2): 33- 37. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2009.02.006
17	Lobell D B , Burke M B , Tebaldi C , et al. Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030[J]. Science, 2008, 319 (5863): 607- 610. doi: 10.1126/science.1152339
18	Nobre G G , Hunink J E , Baruth B , et al. Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe[J]. Scientific Reports, 2019, 9 (1): 1277. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4
19	李建平, 任荣彩, 齐义泉, 等. 亚洲区域海—陆—气相互作用对全球和亚洲气候变化的作用研究进展[J]. 大气科学, 2013, 37 (2): 518- 538.
20	Helali J , Salimi S , Lotfi M , et al. Investigation of the effect of large-scale atmospheric signals at different time lags on the autumn precipitation of Iran's watersheds[J]. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 2020, 13 (18): 932. doi: 10.1007/s12517-020-05840-7
21	时晓曚, 孙即霖, 孙雅文, 等. 北大西洋秋季"三极子"海温结构对冬季大气环流场的影响[J]. 海洋学报, 2015, 37 (7): 33- 40. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4193.2015.07.004
22	Zhang Y , Yu S Y , Amaya D J , et al. Pacific meridional modes without equatorial pacific influence[J]. Journal of Climate, 2021, 34 (13): 5285- 5301.
23	赵四强. 应用海温预报粮食产量的初步探讨[J]. 科学通报, 1982, 27 (20): 1269.
24	Guo E J , Yang X G , Li T , et al. Does ENSO strongly affect rice yield and water application in Northeast China?[J]. Agricultural Water Management, 2021, 245, 106605. doi: 10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106605
25	Saji N H , Goswami B N , Vinayachandran P N , et al. A dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocean[J]. Nature, 1999, 401 (6751): 360- 363.
26	Zhou M Z , Wang H J , Yang S , et al. Influence of springtime North Atlantic Oscillation on crops yields in Northeast China[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2013, 41 (11/12): 3317- 3324.
27	房世波. 分离趋势产量和气候产量的方法探讨[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2011, 20 (6): 13- 18.
28	谢青琰. 印太海温五极子对华北地区冬小麦气候产量的影响与机制研究[D]. 北京: 北京师范大学, 2019.
29	Li J P , Zheng F , Sun C , et al. Pathways of influence of the northern hemisphere mid-high latitudes on east Asian Climate: a review[J]. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, 36 (9): 902- 921. doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8236-5
30	陈凯奇, 李建平, 谢铁军, 等. 全球大气能量的时空特征及变化趋势分析[J]. 大气科学, 2020, 44 (1): 168- 182.
31	Zhang Y Z , Li J P , Zheng F , et al. Impact of the South China sea summer monsoon on the Indian Ocean dipole in CMIP5 models[J]. Journal of Climate, 2021, 34 (5): 1963- 1981.
32	初征, 郭建平. 未来气候变化对东北玉米品种布局的影响[J]. 应用气象学报, 2018, 29 (2): 165- 176.
33	Qi W , Zhang J W , Wang K J , et al. Effects of drought stress on the grain yield and root physiological traits of maize varieties with different drought tolerance[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2010, 21 (1): 48- 52.
34	张玉书, 米娜, 陈鹏狮, 等. 土壤水分胁迫对玉米生长发育的影响研究进展[J]. 中国农学通报, 2012, 28 (3): 1- 7.
35	纪瑞鹏, 车宇胜, 朱永宁, 等. 干旱对东北春玉米生长发育和产量的影响[J]. 应用生态学报, 2012, 23 (11): 3021- 3026.
36	蔡福, 明惠青, 谢艳兵, 等. 东北地区春玉米关键生育期干旱对根系生长的影响[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2018, 34 (2): 75- 81.
37	张淑杰, 张玉书, 纪瑞鹏, 等. 东北地区玉米干旱时空特征分析[J]. 干旱地区农业研究, 2011, 29 (1): 231- 236.
38	段莹, 王文, 蔡晓军. PDSI、SPEI及CI指数在2010—2011年冬、春季江淮流域干旱过程的应用分析[J]. 高原气象, 2013, 32 (4): 1126- 1139.
39	Lau N C , Nath M J . The role of the "atmospheric bridge" in linking tropical pacific ENSO events to extratropical SST anomalies[J]. Journal of Climate, 1996, 9 (9): 2036- 2057.
40	韩冬荟, 赵金媛, 胡琦, 等. 东北地区粮食作物产量变化特征及其对气象干旱的响应研究[J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2021, 26 (3): 188- 200.
41	Gill A E . Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation[J]. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1980, 106 (449): 447- 462.

生长时期	降水	土壤含水量	scPDSI	SPEI
全生育期	0.45^*	0.45^*	0.45^*	0.50^*
播种出苗期	0.47^*	0.38^*	0.43^*	0.44^*

生长时期	降水	土壤含水量	scPDSI	SPEI
全生育期	0.49^*	0.48^*	0.50^*	0.52^*
播种出苗期	0.36^*	0.39^*	0.44^*	0.36^*

[1]	Xian-li ZHAO,Fu CAI,Kang-kang DING,Sai-di WANG,Xiao-ying WANG,Hui ZHANG,Qing-yu JIA,Ri-hong WEN,Hang WU. Phenology variations of spring maize and their correlations with hydrothermal conditions in Jinzhou [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2022, 38(5): 64-71.
[2]	Ni-na CHEN,Rui-peng JI,Na MI,Shu-jie ZHANG,Wen-ying YU,Yuan FANG,Yu-shu ZHANG. Responses of growth, yield, and grain quality to reduced nitrogen application of spring maize [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2021, 37(4): 86-92.
[3]	HOU Yi-ling, XU Han-qing, YANG Xuan, ZHAO Chun-yu. The study case of NorESM1-M on the estimation of spring maize climate potential productivity in northeast China in 2050s [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(4): 100-105.
[4]	MA Yong-zhong, CAI Fu, ZHAO Xian-li, WANG Yang. Responses of main physiological parameters and yield of spring maize to drought stress after flowering [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(2): 102-106.
[5]	ZHANG De-lai;CAI Fu;SHI Kui-qiao; YANG Yang;ZHANG Hui;ZHANG Bing-bing;YANG Lu; GAO Quan;LV Xiao. Responses of main physiological parameters to drought stress during the period from jointing to filling of spring maize in Northeast China [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(4): 134-138.
[6]	CAI Fu, MING Hui-qing, XIE Yan-bing, MI Na, ZHAO Xian-li, ZHANG Yu-shu. Effect of drought stress on root growth during the key growth periods of spring maize in Northeast China [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(2): 75-81.
[7]	ZHAO Xian-li, LI Li-guang, WANG Hong-bo, ZHAO Zi-qi, CAI Fu, YU Wen-ying, ZHANG Xiao-yue, DING Kang-kang, LI Jing. Change of spring maize during growth periods and its impact on yield from 1980 to 2010 in western Liaoning province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2016, 32(1): 84-88.
[8]	ZHAO Xian-li;ZHANG Yu-shu;JI Rui-peng;FENG Rui;ZHANG Shu-jie;MI Na;CAI Fu;WANG Hong-bo. Preliminary discussion on water stress of spring maize during seedling in Liaoning province [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2010, 26(4): 35-39.

Effect of Pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 10

References 41

Related Articles 8

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 10