Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2024, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (5): 73-83.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2024.05.009
• Articles • Previous Articles Next Articles
Yu FU(),Wenyao PU*(
),Hongbin LI,Diangang ZHANG,Fansheng ZHAO,Wei XIA,Jialiang WEN
Received:
2023-03-20
Online:
2024-10-28
Published:
2024-12-17
Contact:
Wenyao PU
E-mail:njufuyu@126.com;pwysy@163.com
CLC Number:
Yu FU,Wenyao PU,Hongbin LI,Diangang ZHANG,Fansheng ZHAO,Wei XIA,Jialiang WEN. Study on scheme of snow enhancement by ground-based flare seeding system[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2024, 40(5): 73-83.
Table 2
Settings of parametric schemes for simulation tests"
试验 | 微物理方案 | 边界层方案 | 积云参数方案 | 试验 | 微物理方案 | 边界层方案 | 积云参数方案 | |
1 | Lin | YSU | KF | 13 | WSM5 | YSU | KF | |
2 | Lin | YSU | BMJ | 14 | WSM5 | YSU | BMJ | |
3 | Lin | YSU | GD | 15 | WSM5 | YSU | GD | |
4 | Lin | MYJ | KF | 16 | WSM5 | MYJ | KF | |
5 | Lin | MYJ | BMJ | 17 | WSM5 | MYJ | BMJ | |
6 | Lin | MYJ | GD | 18 | WSM5 | MYJ | GD | |
7 | WSM3 | YSU | KF | 19 | Ferrier | YSU | KF | |
8 | WSM3 | YSU | BMJ | 20 | Ferrier | YSU | BMJ | |
9 | WSM3 | YSU | GD | 21 | Ferrier | YSU | GD | |
10 | WSM3 | MYJ | KF | 22 | Ferrier | MYJ | KF | |
11 | WSM3 | MYJ | BMJ | 23 | Ferrier | MYJ | BMJ | |
12 | WSM3 | MYJ | GD | 24 | Ferrier | MYJ | GD |
Table 3
Comparison of observed simulated snowfall from 04:00 to 13:00 on December 26, 2016"
实况与试验 | 降雪总量/mm | 平均误差 | 绝对误差 | 相关系数 | |||||||
长兴岛 | 大连 | 金州 | 旅顺 | 普兰店 | 皮口 | 瓦房店 | 庄河 | ||||
实况 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - | - | - |
试验1 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.73 |
试验2 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.70 |
试验3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.72 |
试验4 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.69 |
试验5 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.69 |
试验6 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.70 |
试验7 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.62 |
试验8 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.65 |
试验9 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.65 |
试验10 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.65 |
试验11 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.65 |
试验12 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.68 |
试验13 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.68 |
试验14 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.52 |
试验15 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.52 |
试验16 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.56 |
试验17 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.55 |
试验18 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.55 |
试验19 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.61 |
试验20 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.61 |
试验21 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.59 |
试验22 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.68 |
试验23 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.67 |
试验24 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.67 |
Table 4
Comparison of Characteristic layer height by different classifications %"
分类 | 微物理方案 | 边界层方案 | 积云参数方案 | ||||||||
Lin | WSM3 | WSM5 | Ferrier | YSU | MYJ | KF | BMJ | GD | |||
温度层绝对差值 | -11.0 | -7.9 | -10.7 | -8.7 | -9.8 | -9.8 | -9.7 | -10.8 | -9.8 | ||
云底高度绝对差值 | 0.2 | 41.3 | 16.1 | 5.3 | 15.6 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 12.0 | 12.0 | ||
平均值 | 5.8 | 24.6 | 13.4 | 7.0 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 11.0 |
Table 6
Forcast and calculation results of Laohutun station from 08:00 to 23:00 on December 26, 2016"
时间 | 08时 | 09时 | 10时 | 11时 | 12时 | 13时 | 14时 | 15时 | 16时 | 17时 | 18时 | 19时 | 20时 | 21时 | 22时 | 23时 |
S/mm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
T2/℃ | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | -2.1 | -3.4 | -4.8 | -6.3 | -7.0 | -7.8 | -8.6 | -9.3 | -9.9 |
H-4℃/m | 1412 | 1413 | 1351 | 1344 | 1186 | 753 | 540 | 194 | 60 | / | / | / | / | / | / | / |
H84%/m | 2644 | 2570 | 2471 | 2410 | 2245 | 1671 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 62 | 286 | 1979 | 2216 | / | / | / |
Hx/m | 2644 | 2570 | 2471 | 2410 | 2245 | 1671 | 540 | 194 | 60 | 62 | 286 | 1979 | 2216 | / | / | / |
Hkm/m | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 | 934 |
Hx-Hkm | + | + | + | + | + | + | - | - | - | - | - | + | + | / | / | / |
Table 7
Forcast and calculation results of Taling station from 08:00 to 23:00 on December 26, 2016"
时间 | 08时 | 09时 | 10时 | 11时 | 12时 | 13时 | 14时 | 15时 | 16时 | 17时 | 18时 | 19时 | 20时 | 21时 | 22时 | 23时 |
S/mm | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
T2/℃ | -0.9 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -1.7 | -2.5 | -3.5 | -4.5 | -5.7 | -6.9 | -7.9 | -8.6 |
H-4℃/m | 1445 | 1406 | 1310 | 1388 | 1291 | 949 | 793 | 632 | 342 | 250 | 141 | / | / | / | / | / |
H84%/m | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1856 | 373 | 285 | 162 | 1651 | 1842 | 1871 | 1819 | 1848 | 1811 | 1838 |
Hx/m | 1445 | 1406 | 1310 | 1388 | 1291 | 1856 | 793 | 632 | 342 | 1651 | 1842 | 1871 | 1819 | 1848 | 1811 | 1838 |
Hkm/m | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 | 1021 |
Hx-Hkm | + | + | + | + | + | + | - | - | - | + | + | + | + | + | + | + |
Table 8
Forcast and calculation results of Daheishan station from 08:00 to 23:00 on December 26, 2016"
时间 | 08时 | 09时 | 10时 | 11时 | 12时 | 13时 | 14时 | 15时 | 16时 | 17时 | 18时 | 19时 | 20时 | 21时 | 22时 | 23时 |
S/mm | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
T2/℃ | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -3.8 | -4.8 | -5.6 | -6.2 | -6.7 |
H-4℃/m | 1982 | 2017 | 1998 | 1985 | 1885 | 1851 | 1477 | 1292 | 1109 | 895 | 696 | / | / | / | / | / |
H84%/m | 2015 | 1479 | 631 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 627 | 687 | 835 | / | / | / | / |
Hx/m | 2015 | 2017 | 1998 | 1985 | 1885 | 1851 | 1477 | 1292 | 1109 | 895 | 696 | 835 | / | / | / | / |
Hkm/m | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 | 1492 |
Hx-Hkm | + | + | + | + | + | + | - | - | - | - | - | - | / | / | / | / |
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