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    2020年11月吉林省罕见冻雨天气成因分析

    Cause analysis of a rare freezing rain event in November 2020 in Jilin province

    • 摘要: 利用常规地面观测资料、探空秒数据、微波辐射计资料、ERA5再分析资料等,对2020年11月17—20日吉林省冻雨天气成因进行分析。结果表明:此次冻雨天气过程受高空槽东移加深、蒙古高压向南入侵和地面气旋北上共同影响。低空急流为吉林省输送了充沛的水汽,比湿为3~7 g·kg-1。同时,受850 hPa暖脊影响,0℃等温线长时间停留在吉林中部并缓慢移动,导致冷暖气团持续作用,在对流层中低层形成稳定的逆温层,为长春市、吉林市等地冻雨天气的发生提供了有利温度层结条件。通过分析长春站和吉林站冻雨发生时的温度、湿度层结可知,冻雨发生于自下而上的冷—暖—冷温度层结中,冷垫高度高于950 hPa,厚度为0.7~1.0 km,1000 hPa温度为-3~0℃,850 hPa温度为1~3℃,暖层厚度为950~750 hPa,约1.5 km,中心最高温度大于3℃。同时,中高空(800~350 hPa)固态水含量需高于0.2 g·kg-1,中低空(900~700 hPa)液态水含量需大于0.2 g·kg-1,上升气流越强,含水量越高,降水越大。通过观测10 m风速骤降为0 m·s-1或缺测,可大致推算冻雨发生时间,以订正或补充人工观测结果。

       

      Abstract: From November 17 to 20, 2020, there was a large-scale freezing rain and snow weather process in Jilin province, and there was a long-term and large-scale freezing rain during the transition of rain and snow, causing a rare degree of disaster in history.In this paper, the conventional ground observation data, radiosonde second data, microwave radiometer data, and ERA5 reanalysis data were used to analyze the cause mechanism of the freezing rain.The results show that the process is influenced by the deepening of the eastward movement of the upper trough, the southward invasion of the Mongolian High, and the northward surface cyclone.The low-level jet brings abundant water vapor to the precipitation in Jilin province, and the specific humidity is generally 3~7 g·kg-1.At the same time, under the influence of a warm ridge at 850 hPa, the 0℃ isotherm maintains and moves slowly in the central part of Jilin province for a long time, and the cold and warm air masses confront each other for a long time, forming a stable inversion layer in the middle and lower troposphere, which provides favorable temperature stratification conditions for freezing rain in Changchun city and Jilin city.Through the analysis of the temperature and humidity stratification during freezing rain in Changchun and Jilin stations, it is found that the freezing rain occurs in the cold-warm-cold temperature stratification from the bottom up of the vertical temperature field.The height of the cold pad is higher than 950 hPa, the thickness is 0.7~1.0 km, the temperature at the lower 1000 hPa is -3~0℃, the temperature at 850 hPa is 1~3℃, and the thickness of the warm layer is at 950~750 hPa, about 1.5 km.The maximum temperature in the center of the warm layer is greater than 3℃.The content of solid water in the middle and upper altitudes (800~350 hPa) should not be less than 0.2 g·kg-1, and the content of liquid water in the middle and lower altitudes (900~700 hPa) should not be less than 0.2 g·kg-1.The greater the updraft, the greater the water content of solid and liquid, and the greater the precipitation.The wind speed at 10 m observed by the automatic meteorological station drops to 0 m·s-1 or there are no measured results.The time of freezing rain can be roughly estimated, and the results of manual observation can be effectively corrected or supplemented.

       

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