太平洋海温三极子对中国东北地区春玉米气候产量的影响

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2022.05.009

气象与环境学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (5): 72-80.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2022.05.009

太平洋海温三极子对中国东北地区春玉米气候产量的影响

陈凯奇¹(),李建平^2,^3,*(),谢铁军⁴,张亚洲²

1. 北京师范大学全球变化与地球系统科学研究院, 北京 100875
2. 中国海洋大学深海圈层与地球系统前沿科学中心/物理海洋教育部重点实验室/未来海洋学院, 山东青岛 266100
3. 青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室海洋动力过程与气候功能实验室, 山东青岛 2662373
4. 北京市气候中心, 北京 100089

收稿日期:2022-03-07 出版日期:2022-10-28 发布日期:2022-11-04
通讯作者: 李建平 E-mail:kyle1023@163.com;ljp@ouc.edu.cn
作者简介:陈凯奇, 男, 1994年生, 在读博士研究生, 主要从事农业气象和环境变化方面的研究, E-mail: kyle1023@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学重大基金(42130607);山东省自然科学基金重大基础研究项目(ZR2019ZD12);国家自然科学重大基金(41790474);国家自然科学基金项目(41530424)

Effect of Pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China

Kai-qi CHEN¹(),Jian-ping LI^2,^3,*(),Tie-jun XIE⁴,Ya-zhou ZHANG²

1. College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
2. Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES)/Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography/Institute for Advanced Ocean Studies, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China
3. Laboratory for Ocean Dynamics and Climate, Pilot Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China
4. Beijing Municipal Climate Center, Beijing 100089, China

Received:2022-03-07 Online:2022-10-28 Published:2022-11-04
Contact: Jian-ping LI E-mail:kyle1023@163.com;ljp@ouc.edu.cn

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

利用1949—2018年玉米产量数据、NCEP再分析资料、帕尔默干旱指数、标准化降水蒸散指数、土壤含水量和SST等, 分析了太平洋海温三极子对中国东北地区春玉米气候产量的影响。结果表明: 东北地区春玉米气候产量与收获当年1—5月的太平洋海温三极子存在显著相关, 太平洋海温三极子能够通过太平洋上空的遥相关型影响东北地区春玉米播种出苗期和全发育期的区域环流场, 进而影响区域降水、土壤含水量、帕尔默干旱指数和标准化降水蒸散指数等与东北地区春玉米气候产量密切相关的因子。当太平洋海温三极子增强时, 太平洋上空会形成类似Rossby波列结构的遥相关型, 在东北地区高空产生负涡度异常, 有利于上升气流的形成和降水的增加。太平洋海温三极子也有利于在低层形成从西北太平洋向东北地区的东南风异常, 通过水汽传输进一步增强东北区域降水。

关键词: 太平洋海温三极子, 春玉米, 气候产量, 大气桥

Abstract:

Based on maize yield data, NCEP re-analysis data, self-calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI), standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI), soil water content and sea surface temperature (SST) data, the effect of pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China was analyzed.It was found that the climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China was significantly correlated with the Pacific SST tripole from January to May of the harvest year.The Pacific SST tripole could influence the regional circulation field during the seeding stage and the whole growing season of spring maize in northeast China through the teleconnection pattern over the Pacific, and then affect regional precipitation, soil moisture content, scPDSI, and SPEI, which are closely related to the climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China.When the Pacific SST tripole strengthens, a Rossby-wave-like teleconnection pattern will be formed over the Pacific, resulting in a negative vorticity anomaly in the upper air of northeast China, which is conducive to the formation of local updraft and the increase of precipitation.The Pacific SST tripole is also conducive to the formation of the southeast wind anomaly from the northwest Pacific to northeast China at the low level, which further enhances the precipitation in northeast China through water vapor transport.

Key words: Pacific SST tripole, Spring maize, Climatic yield, Atmospheric bridge

中图分类号:

S162.8

陈凯奇,李建平,谢铁军,张亚洲. 太平洋海温三极子对中国东北地区春玉米气候产量的影响[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2022, 38(5): 72-80.

Kai-qi CHEN,Jian-ping LI,Tie-jun XIE,Ya-zhou ZHANG. Effect of Pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2022, 38(5): 72-80.

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生长时期	降水	土壤含水量	scPDSI	SPEI
全生育期	0.45^*	0.45^*	0.45^*	0.50^*
播种出苗期	0.47^*	0.38^*	0.43^*	0.44^*

生长时期	降水	土壤含水量	scPDSI	SPEI
全生育期	0.49^*	0.48^*	0.50^*	0.52^*
播种出苗期	0.36^*	0.39^*	0.44^*	0.36^*

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太平洋海温三极子对中国东北地区春玉米气候产量的影响

Effect of Pacific SST tripole on climatic yield of spring maize in northeast China

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