Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2020, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (3): 49-54.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2020.03.007
• Articles • Previous Articles Next Articles
Ling-ling JI1(),Zhu-xiang XI1,Zhuo CHEN2,Yu-xi LIU1
Received:
2019-07-02
Online:
2020-06-30
Published:
2020-07-09
CLC Number:
Ling-ling JI,Zhu-xiang XI,Zhuo CHEN,Yu-xi LIU. Study on climatic characteristics and assessment methods of high temperature weather in Jilin province[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2020, 36(3): 49-54.
Table 1
Evaluation index of abnormal climate recurrence period of high temperature process and maximum temperature in Jilin province from 1951 to 2018"
重现期 | 5 a | 10 a | 20 a | 30 a | 50 a | 100 a | 200 a | 300 a |
高温过程重现期指标 | 0.5730 | 0.5755 | 0.5776 | 0.5788 | 0.5800 | 0.5816 | 0.5830 | 0.5839 |
最高气温重现期 | 38.6973 | 39.4523 | 40.0700 | 40.4132 | 40.7735 | 41.2368 | 41.6658 | 41.9231 |
Table 2
Evaluation of high-temperature process in Jilin province from 2017 to 2018"
要素 | 2017年7月4—9日 | 2017年7月14—19日 | 2018年7月21—24日 | 2018年7月26—30日 | 2018年8月1—4日 |
持续时间/d | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
出现站次 | 182 | 107 | 155 | 150 | 141 |
最高气温/℃ | 37.3 | 40.8 | 37.1 | 38.4 | 39.0 |
平均最高气温/℃ | 33.3 | 33.5 | 33.8 | 34.1 | 34.7 |
高温过程指数 | 0.5743 | 0.5714 | 0.5707 | 0.5722 | 0.5706 |
等级评估 | 偏强过程 | 偏强过程 | 较强过程 | 偏强过程 | 较强过程 |
序位评估 | 第10位 | 第17位 | 第22位 | 第14位 | 第23位 |
异常重现期评估 | 5 a一遇 | - | - | - | - |
1 |
秦大河, StockerT. IPCC第五次评估报告第一工作组报告的亮点结论[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2014, 10 (1): 1- 6.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2014.01.001 |
2 | Robine J M, Cheung S L, Le Roy S, et al.Report on excess mortality in Europe during summer 2003.EU Community Action Programme for Public Health, Grant Agreement 2005114[R].Brussels: EU, 2003. |
3 |
Lokoshchenko M A , Korneva I A , Dubovetsky A Z , et al. Air temperature in the lower troposphere over Moscow during heat wave in the summer of 2010[J]. Atmospheric and Oceanic Optics, 2016, 29 (3): 267- 273.
doi: 10.1134/S102485601603009X |
4 |
杨宏青, 陈正洪, 谢森, 等. 夏季极端高温对武汉市人口超额死亡率的定量评估[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2013, 29 (5): 140- 143.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2013.05.023 |
5 | 张小泉, 王文, 傅帅. 2013年浙江省夏季异常高温天气特征及其成因分析[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2017, 33 (1): 80- 86. |
6 | 乔娟, 张雅斌, 程龙, 等. 西安地区高温天气分月精细化预报指标[J]. 干旱气象, 2018, 36 (1): 141- 149. |
7 | 侯雯嘉, 耿婷, 陈群, 等. 近20年气候变暖对东北水稻生育期和产量的影响[J]. 应用生态学报, 2015, 26 (1): 249- 259. |
8 | 吴琼, 郭煜, 周勍, 等. 镇江地区高温气候特征分析及一次连续性高温天气的诊断[J]. 气象科学, 2017, 37 (1): 134- 140. |
9 | 王培娟, 韩丽娟, 周广胜, 等. 气候变暖对东北三省春玉米布局的可能影响及其应对策略[J]. 自然资源学报, 2015, 30 (8): 1343- 1355. |
10 |
叶殿秀, 尹继福, 陈正洪, 等. 1961-2010年我国夏季高温热浪的时空变化特征[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2013, 9 (1): 15- 20.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2013.01.003 |
11 | 吴绍洪, 潘韬, 刘燕华, 等. 中国综合气候变化风险区划[J]. 地理学报, 2017, 72 (1): 3- 17. |
12 | 许遐祯, 郑有飞, 尹继福, 等. 南京市高温热浪特征及其对人体健康的影响[J]. 生态学杂志, 2011, 30 (12): 2815- 2820. |
13 | 何苗, 徐永明, 李宁, 等. 基于遥感的北京城市高温热浪风险评估[J]. 生态环境学报, 2017, 26 (4): 635- 642. |
14 |
王琪, 杨雪艳, 马洪波. 吉林省夏季高温的集合预报效果评估及产品释用[J]. 气象灾害防御, 2018, 25 (3): 23- 26.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5229.2018.03.005 |
15 | 刘铮. 1999年7月吉林省异常高温伏旱的环流成因分析[J]. 吉林气象, 1999, (4): 14- 16. |
16 | 王秀荣, 王维国, 张建忠, 等. 全国气象服务规范技术手册[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 2012. |
17 | 汪权方, 晏群, 徐慧, 等. 基于灰色关联度的AHP权重矩阵构建方法改进及在农地评价中的应用[J]. 地理科学进展, 2016, 35 (10): 1249- 1257. |
18 | 袭祝香, 张晨琛, 吕忠, 等. 吉林省重大暴雨过程灾害损失风险预评估[J]. 冰川冻土, 2016, 38 (2): 395- 401. |
19 |
施能. 北半球冬季大气环流遥相关的长期变化及其与我国气候变化的关系[J]. 气象学报, 1996, 54 (6): 675- 683.
doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0577-6619.1996.06.001 |
20 |
侯依玲, 刘鸣彦, 张海娜, 等. 1961-2015年东北区域最高与最低气温演变的气候特征[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2018, 34 (5): 93- 99.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2018.05.012 |
21 | 袭祝香, 马树庆, 纪玲玲. 东北地区水稻延迟型冷害时空特征及其与气候变暖的关系[J]. 地理研究, 2014, 33 (7): 1373- 1382. |
22 |
曹杰, 陶云. 中国的降水量符合正态分布吗?[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2002, 11 (3): 115- 120.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-4574.2002.03.019 |
23 |
周雁翎, 张琼雄, 张练. 粤西降水量的分布特征及正态分布检验[J]. 广东气象, 2007, 29 (3): 32- 34.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-6190.2007.03.010 |
24 |
陈骥, 王炳兴. 基于正态分布点值化的区间主成分评价法及应用[J]. 统计研究, 2012, 29 (7): 91- 95.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-4565.2012.07.016 |
25 |
于秀晶, 胡靖彪, 张晨琛, 等. 1961-2016年吉林省气候季节的演变特征[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2018, 34 (4): 105- 111.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2018.04.014 |
[1] | Yi LIN,Yu ZHAO,Qian LI,Dong-lei MA,Guang-mei ZHANG,Qiang MA,Lan LI,Fan ZHAO. Analysis of main meteorological factors influencing winter traffic accidents in Liaoning expressway based on data mining processing [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2020, 36(3): 55-63. |
[2] | Yan Ping, Ji Shegntai, Sun Yankun, Jiang Lixia, Wang qiujing, Lv Jiajia, Wang Ping. Characteristics of Soil Moisture Change in Farmland of Fuyu County effects on development period and yield of Maize [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 0, (): 10-0. |
[3] | CAO Jingfu, LI Mingcai, CHEN Yuehao. Effects of climate change on heating and cooling energy consumptions of office buildings in representative cities of North China [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 0, (): 13-0. |
[4] | Wang Fu-hua, Zhou Hou-fu, Zhang Ping, Jin Ji-bin, Sun Jin-he, Wang Su-yao. Influence of Meteorological Factors on Electric Power Load and Its Forecast [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 0, (): 14-0. |
[5] | WANG Ping, YAN Ping, LI Xiu-fen, WANG Liang-liang, WANG Qiu-jing, GONG Li-juan. Effects of soil moisture on yield components of soybean in black soil area [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(5): 115-122. |
[6] | WANG Dong-cheng, QIU Can, DONG Xu-guang, CAO Jie. Study on determining the height of the convective boundary layer in summer over Ji'nan using deviation degree method [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(3): 29-36. |
[7] | TAN Yu-long, YIN Ling, WANG Shi-gong, CHEN Lei, TAN Yuan-wen, KANG Yan-zhen. Comparative research of the effects of temperature change on ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular diseases in different regions [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(3): 94-99. |
[8] | SUN Shi-qiang, LU Wen-han, GUO Jian-min, QIAN Yan-zhen, LU Jing-jing. Analysis of the epidemic characteristics of heat stroke and the influence of heat wave on it in Ningbo city from 2012 to 2016 [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(1): 66-71. |
[9] | ZHU Meng-yuan, ZHANG Hui, LI Shuang, ZHANG Bing-bing, CHANG Song, CAI Fu, ZHAO Jia, CAI Wen-bo. Effects of water stress and supplement after sowing on emergence rates of maize [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(1): 101-107. |
[10] | MI Na, CAI Fu, ZHANG Yu-shu, ZHAO Yi-jun, ZHANG Shu-jie, JI Rui-peng, WANG Yang, WANG He-ran, SUI Ming. Advanced in research on rainfed crop yield gaps [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(6): 140-147. |
[11] | LI Nan, XUE Xiao-ping, LI Hong-yi. The risk assessment of wind disaster of greenhouse in Shandong province based on information dissemination theory [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(5): 149-155. |
[12] | YIN Xiao-dong, DONG Si-yan, HAN Zhen-yu, WANG Rong. Projected risk of drought and flood at Yangtze River Delta for the next 50 years [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(5): 66-75. |
[13] | WANG Zhi;TIAN Hua;DI Jing-yue;XU Feng-wen. Research on the tempo-spatial characteristics of road damage induced by precipitation [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(4): 98-104. |
[14] | LIU Bo; DANG Bing; ZHANG Nan;WANG Shi-gong; YIN Ling; ZHANG Xiao-yun; LI Tan-shi;LU Zhen-hua. Comparison of various meteorological statistical forecasting models-Taking causing- stroke weather forecasting as an example [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(4): 126-133. |
[15] | LI Chen, GUO Wen-li, WU Jin, JIN Chen-xi. Relationship between daily maximum electric power load and meteorological factors in summer in Beijing [J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2018, 34(3): 99-105. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||
|