主办单位:中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所
国际刊号:ISSN 1673-503X
国内刊号:CN 21-1531/P

Journal of Meteorology and Environment ›› 2023, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (4): 103-113.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2023.04.013

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Characteristics of summer precipitation and its relationship with previous ENSO in Northeast China from 1961 to 2019

Xin MENG1(),Yu ZHANG2,Tingting ZHAO3,Di WANG4,Yunlong MA1,Xu ZHANG1   

  1. 1. Dandong Meteorological Observatory, Dandong 118000, China
    2. State Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Engineering, Xi'an 710054, China
    3. Liaoyang Meteorological Observatory, Liaoyang 111000, China
    4. Meteorological Service Center of Liaoning province, Shenyang 110166, China
  • Received:2022-08-18 Online:2023-08-28 Published:2023-09-23

Abstract:

Using the daily precipitation data at 204 meteorological stations in Northeast China, monthly NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, and Niño3.4 index provided by the National Climate Prediction Center (CPC) of the United States, the variation characteristics of summer precipitation as well as its relationship with the previous ENSO in Northeast China were analyzed by correlation analysis, wavelet analysis, M-K mutation, composite analysis and other methods.The results show that the annual precipitation in summer shows a decreasing trend at the rate of 2.39 mm/10 a in Northeast China.It decreases in southwest and increases in northeast.The highest decreasing rate occurs in Liaoning region.Summer precipitation has significant oscillation periods of 2~3 a, 6~7 a and 8~9 a.1961 to 1982 and 1998 to 2019 are relatively dry periods, 1983 to 1997 are relatively wet periods, and the abrupt change years are 1983 and 1998.Summer precipitation in Northeast China is closely related to the summer ENSO of the previous year, and there is a significant positive correlation between the two from 1997 to 2019.From 1997 to 2019, SST anomaly changes in Niño3.4 region in the previous summer caused water vapor transport anomaly and local vertical movement changes, which has a significant impact on summer precipitation in Northeast China.Niño3.4 index can be used as a predictor of summer precipitation in Northeast China in the following year.

Key words: Interdecadal variability, Sea surface temperature anomaly, Precipitation

CLC Number: