Abstract: The application results from three numerical weather prediction models in the northeast of China were verified and these include T639 from the national meteorological center of China, the Germany precipitation forecast and the European center for medium-range weather forecasts (ECMWF). The results indicated that for precipitation, the forecast effect of the Germany model is good in the northeast of China, but the missing rates of T639 are lower than that of Germany model. TS score of T639 to 24-120 h rainstorm prediction is also higher than that of Germany model. For temperature, the forecast effect of T639 within 72 h is available in the northeast China, and that of ECMWF within 96 h is good. The accuracy rates of T639 to 24 h temperature prediction are higher than that of ECMWF. The forecast effect of T639 to circulation model within 48 h is better than that of ECMWF, while the forecast effect of ECMWF beyond 72 h is good.

Key words: T639 numerical prediction, Germany precipitation forecast, European center for medium-range weather forecasts (ECMWF) numerical prediction, Precipitation, Temperature, Circulation, Forecast verification